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THREATS TO CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE IN IRAN CONFLICT

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The awful arithmetic of our wars

A U.S. Air Force airman triages simulated patients during the Beverly Sentinel 26-1 exercise at Kunsan Air Base, Republic of Korea, Dec. 2, 2025. (U.S. Air Force photo by Senior Airman Karissa Dick)

By Peter W. Singer

At the lowest point of the Civil War, Abraham Lincoln characterized the core factor between victory and defeat as finding a general who understood the “awful arithmetic” of war. War is a contest of blood and treasure; each can, and must, ultimately be counted and measured. It has been the same for every conflict before and after. 

Yet this arithmetic is constantly changing, and never faster than right now. If the United States cannot update its calculations to properly reflect our new era, our failure will not just cost us blood and treasure, but will drive us toward defeat.

Cost imposition has long been a tenet of U.S. strategy. During the Cold War, the U.S. launched expensive programs such as stealth and Star Wars not just for their tactical value, but to send a strategic signal to the Kremlin: neither your economy nor your war machine can keep up. Gorbachev, persuaded, gave up the decades-long competition with the U.S. 

Read more at Defense One

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