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THREATS TO CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE IN IRAN CONFLICT

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Critical undersea infrastructure, ISR fusion, and NATO decision latency on Germany’s northern flank

(NATO - Allied Maritime Command)

By Uma Miskinyar

As NATO’s northern flank becomes a sensor-saturated operating environment, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) fusion increasingly depends on the integrity of undersea cables, unmanned systems, cloud infrastructure and allied data-sharing architectures.

The Baltic critical undersea infrastructure (CUI) has become part of NATO’s sensor-decision environment, tracing the very pathway through which cable disruption can degrade ISR fusion, slow attribution, and produce decision latency. This makes the case of Germany’s digital-sovereignty debate operationally relevant by exposing the gap between Berlin’s desire for technological autonomy and NATO’s immediate reliance on commercially enabled, interoperable ISR systems to monitor and defend the Baltic Sea.

Any degradation in the infrastructure layer can become a transatlantic intelligence problem before it becomes purely a German military one. As United States attention is pulled between Europe and the Middle East, and Germany faces renewed questions over American force posture, Baltic CUI protection becomes a test of whether NATO can preserve decision speed under strategic distraction.

Read more at Small Wars Journal

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